«The South Caucasus – 2006: New Trends of Development,Threats and Risks»

International Conference

October 2-3, 2006, Yerevan

On October 2-3, 2006, Center for Strategic Analysis SPECTRUM holds its fourth International Conference “The South Caucasus – 2006: the Main Trends of Development, Threats and Risks.”

Among the themes discussed at the Conference – evaluation of development of the states of the region within the Euro-Atlantic structures and perspectives of partner relations with NATO, European Union, Council of Europe, the issues of regional security – sources of instability and the ways to overcome, as well as expert assessment of the role of each state of the South Caucasus.

A special session is desiccated to the role of such powers as Russia , USA , Turkey , Iran , China – in the regional security system. Two round tables are dedicated to the geopolitical perspectives of the region and the new challenges and opportunities for the South Caucasus .

Among the participants of the Conference will be the Armenian and foreign independent experts and political researchers, representing the leading research centers of Armenia , Azerbaijan , Georgia , Germany , Ukraine , Turkey , USA , Russia , China , Iran , international organizations concerned – NATO (Amb. Jean Fournet, Assistant Secretary General of NATO for Public Diplomacy – direct video-link with Brussels ), European Union (Amb. Peter Semneby, EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus), OSCE, Council of Europe, as well as appropriate Ministries and bodies of the Republic of Armenia .

The Conference is organized with the financial support of the Public Diplomacy Division of NATO and Ministry of Foreign Affaires of Finland, as well as with participation of the US and Greek Embassies in Armenia .

The program of the conference

October 2, 2006

9.30 – 10.00 Registration
10.00 – 10.20 Opening addresses:
Dr. Gayane Novikova, Director, Center for Strategic Analysis SPECTRUM
H.E. Amb. Arman Kirakossian, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Armenia
Mr. Anthony F. Godfrey, the Charge d’Affaires a.i. of United States in Armenia
MG Dr. Hayk Kotanjian, Advisor on Defence Policy to the Minister of Defence of Armenia (TBC)
Session № 1
Moderator: Dr. Gayane Novikova
10.20- 10.40 Key Note Speaker Amb. Peter Semneby, EU Special Representativefor the South Caucasus
10.40 –11.00 Questions to the speaker
11.00 – 11.30 Coffee break
Session № 2 Partnership in reality
Moderator: Despina-Ino Afentouli, Regional Coordinator for the Caucasus, NATO Public Diplomacy Division
11.30 – 11.50 Ms. Bojana Urumova, Special Representative of the Secretary General of the Council of Europe
11.50 – 12.10 Amb. Vladimir Pryakhin, Head of the OSCE office in Armenia
12.10 – 12.30 Dr. Jorg Himmelreich, Senior Transatlantic Fellow, The German Marshall Fund of the United States, Berlin
12.30 – 12.50 Dr. Sharyl Cross, Professor of the George C.Marshall European Center for Security Studies, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
12.50 – 13.30 Questions to the speakers
13.30 – 13.45 Key note speaker Amb. Jean Fournet, Deputy Secretary General of NATO (video-link with Brussels)
13.45 – 15.15 Lunch
15.15 – 16.30 Discussion: Geopolitical prospects of the region
Moderator: Amb. Shalva Pichkhadze, Chairman of “Georgia for NATO”
Discussants: MG Dr.  Hayk Kotanjian, Director of the Institute for Strategic Studies, Yerevan, Armenia (TBC)
Dr. Ashot Voskanian,
Adviser of the Minister of the Foreign Affairs of Armenia (TBC)
Dr. Alexander Iskandarian, CMI, Yerevan, Armenia
Mikhail Samus, Expert of Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies (CACDS), Kiev, Ukraine
19.00 – 21.00 Reception in honor of the participants of the Conference
October 3, 2006
Session № 1 The Regional Environment: Sources of Instability – Prospects of Conflict or Reconciliation?
Moderator: Ashot Melyan, Expert of the Center for Strategic Analysis SPECTRUM
9.30 –   9.50 Dr. Vyacheslav Igrunov, Director of the Institute for Humanities and Political Studies, Moscow, Russia
9.50 – 10.10 Amb. Irakli Menagarishvili, Director of the Strategic Research Centre, Tbilisi, Georgia
10.10 – 10.30 Dr. Leila Alieva, President of the Center for National and International Studies, Baku, Azerbaijan
10.30 – 11.00 Coffee break
11.00 – 11.20 Dr.Farhad Atai, Professor of the Tehran University, Tehran, Iran
11.20 – 11.40 Amb. Murat Bilhan, Kulture University, Istanbul, Turkey
11.40 – 12.00 Dr. Gayane Novikova, Director, Center for Strategic Analysis SPECTRUM
12.00 – 12.30 Questions to speakers
12.30 – 14.00 Lunch
Session № 2 The South Caucasus Between the Poles of Power
14.00 – 14.20 Richard Giragosian, Spectrum Contributing Analyst, Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL) and Jane’s Information Group, Washington, USA
14.20 – 14.40 LTC (Ret.) Sergey Sargsyan, Center for Strategic Analysis Spectrum
14.40 – 15.00 Questions to speakers
15.00 – 15.30 Coffee break

15.30 – 16.30 Round Table:  New Challenges and Opportunities for the South Caucasus
Moderator: Dr. Gayane Novikova, Director
Discussants: Amb. Shalva Pichkhadze, Chairman of “Georgia for NATO”
Dr. Ruben Safrastyan, Center for Strategic Analysis Spectrum
LTC (Ret.) Dmitry Shtiblikov, Deputy Director of the Center NOMOS, Simferopol, Ukraine
Dr. Tong Gang, Correspondent on Transcaucasia and Caspian Region, China Youth Daily, Beijing, China
16.30-16.45 Closure of the Conference

List of participants